- Padron, A.S, Alonso, J.J., Palacios, F., Barone, M., and Eldred, M.S., "Multi-Fidelity Uncertainty Quantification Application to a Vertical Axis Wind Turbine Under an Extreme Gust," to appear in
*AIAA Aviation and Aeronautics Forum and Exposition 2014 (15th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference)*, Atlanta, GA, June 16-20, 2014.

- Safta, C., Chowdhary, K., Sargsyan, K., Najm, H.N., Debusschere, B.J., Swiler, L.P., and Eldred, M.S., "Uncertainty Quantification Methods for Model Calibration, Validation, and Risk Analysis," paper AIAA-2014-1497 in
*16th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference*, National Harbor, Maryland, January 13-17, 2014.

- Ng, L.W.T. and Eldred, M.S., "Multifidelity Uncertainty Quantification Using Nonintrusive Polynomial Chaos and Stochastic Collocation," paper AIAA-2012-1852 in
*Proceedings of the 53rd AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics and Materials Conference (14th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Honolulu, Hawaii, April 23-26, 2012.

- Eldred, M.S., Barone, M.F., Domino, S.P., Alonso, J.J., Iaccarino, G., Duraisamy, K., Tang, G, Witteveen, J.A.S., "Large-Scale Uncertainty and Error Analysis for Time-dependent Fluid/Structure Interactions in Wind Turbine Applications: Summary of Advances in Algorithm Research and Deployment," ASCR Exascale Research Conference, Portland, Apr. 16-18, 2012.

- Najm, H.N., Debusschere, B.J., Eldred, M.S., Safta, C., Jakeman, J.D., Higdon, D.M., Gattiker, J.R., Ghanem, R.G., Knio, O.M., Alexanderian, A., Marzouk, Y.M., El Moselhy, T.A., Li, J., Conrad, P.R., Bui-Thanh, T., Ghattas, O., Martin, J., Moser, R., Prudencio, E., and Stadler, G., "Quantification of Uncertainty in Extreme Scale Computations (QUEST)," ASCR Exascale Research Conference, Portland, Apr. 16-18, 2012.

- Eldred, M.S. and Swiler, L.P., "Towards Goal-Oriented Stochastic Design Employing Adaptive Collocation Methods, paper AIAA-2010-9125 in
*Proceedings of the 13th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Fort Worth, TX, Sept. 13-15, 2010.

- Swiler, L.P. and West, N.J., "Importance Sampling: Promises and Limitations, paper AIAA-2010-2850 in
*Proceedings of the 51st AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (12th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Orlando, FL, Apr 12-15, 2010.

- Tang, G., Iaccarino, G., and Eldred, M.S., "Global Sensitivity Analysis for Stochastic Collocation Expansion, paper AIAA-2010-2922 in
*Proceedings of the 51st AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (12th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Orlando, FL, Apr 12-15, 2010.

- Tang, G., Swiler. L.P., and Eldred, M.S., "Using Stochastic Expansion Methods in Evidence Theory for Mixed Aleatory-Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification," paper AIAA-2010-2589 in
*Proceedings of the 51st AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (12th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Orlando, FL, Apr 12-15, 2010.

- West, N.J. and Swiler, L.P., "Parameter Estimation via Gaussian Processes and Maximum Likelihood Estimation, paper AIAA-2010-2851 in

- Bichon, B.J., Mahadevan. S., and Eldred, M.S., "Reliability-Based Design Optimization Using Efficient Global Reliability Analysis, paper AIAA-2009-2261 in
*Proceedings of the 50th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (11th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Palm Springs, CA, May 4-7, 2009.

- Eldred, M.S., "Recent Advances in Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos and Stochastic Collocation Methods for Uncertainty Analysis and Design, paper AIAA-2009-2274 in
*Proceedings of the 50th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (11th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Palm Springs, CA, May 4-7, 2009.

- Swiler, L.P., Paez, T.L., Mayes, R.L., and Eldred, M.S., "Epistemic Uncertainty in the Calculation of Margins, paper AIAA-2009-2249 in
*Proceedings of the 50th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (11th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Palm Springs, CA, May 4-7, 2009.

- Eldred, M.S. and Burkardt, J., "Comparison of Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos and Stochastic Collocation Methods for Uncertainty Quantification, paper AIAA-2009-0976 in
*Proceedings of the 47th AIAA Aerospace Sciences Meeting*, Orlando, FL, Jan. 5-8, 2009.

- Swiler, L.P., Adams, B.M., and Eldred, M.S., "Model Calibration Under Uncertainty: Matching Distribution Information, paper AIAA-2008-5944 in
*Proceedings of the 12th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, Sept. 10-12, 2008.

- Eldred, M.S., Webster, C.G., and Constantine, P.G., "Evaluation of Non-Intrusive Approaches for Wiener-Askey Generalized Polynomial Chaos, paper AIAA-2008-1892 in
*Proceedings of the 49th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (10th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Schaumburg, IL, April 7-10, 2008.

- Swiler, L.P. and Giunta, A.A., "Aleatory and epistemic uncertainty quantification for engineering applications, Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings, July 29 - Aug. 2, 2007, Denver, CO.

- Bichon, B.J., Eldred, M.S., Swiler, L.P., Mahadevan, S., and McFarland, J.M., "Multimodal Reliability Assessment for Complex Engineering Applications using Efficient Global Optimization, paper AIAA-2007-1946 in
*Proceedings of the 48th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (9th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Honolulu, HI, April 23-26, 2007.

- Eldred, M.S., Adams, B.M., Copps, K.D., Carnes, B., Notz, P.K., Hopkins, M.M., and Wittwer, J.W., "Solution-Verified Reliability Analysis and Design of Compliant Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems, paper AIAA-2007-1934 in
*Proceedings of the 48th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (9th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Honolulu, HI, April 23-26, 2007.

- Adams, B.M., Eldred, M.S., Wittwer, J., and Massad, J., "Reliability-Based Design Optimization for Shape Design of Compliant Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems, paper AIAA-2006-7000 in the
*Proceedings of the 11th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Portsmouth, VA, Sept. 6-8, 2006.

- Eldred, M.S. and Dunlavy, D.M., "Formulations for Surrogate-Based Optimization with Data Fit, Multifidelity, and Reduced-Order Models, paper AIAA-2006-7117 in the
*Proceedings of the 11th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Portsmouth, VA, Sept. 6-8, 2006.

- Giunta, A.A., Swiler, L.P., Brown, S.L., Eldred, M.S., Richards, M.D., and Cyr, E.C., "The Surfpack Software Library for Surrogate Modeling of Sparse Irregularly Spaced Multidimensional Data, paper AIAA-2006-7049 in the
*Proceedings of the 11th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Portsmouth, VA, Sept. 6-8, 2006.

- Robinson, T.D., Willcox, K.E., Eldred, M.S., and Haimes, R., "Multifidelity Optimization for Variable-Complexity Design, paper AIAA-2006-7114 in the
*Proceedings of the 11th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Portsmouth, VA, Sept. 6-8, 2006.

- Eldred, M.S. and Bichon, B.J., "Second-Order Reliability Formulations in DAKOTA/UQ, paper AIAA-2006-1828 in
*Proceedings of the 47th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (8th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference)*, Newport, Rhode Island, May 1 - 4, 2006.

- Robinson, T.D., Eldred, M.S., Willcox, K.E., and Haimes, R., "Strategies for Multifidelity Optimization with Variable Dimensional Hierarchical Models, paper AIAA-2006-1819 in
*Proceedings of the 47th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (2nd AIAA Multidisciplinary Design Optimization Specialist Conference)*, Newport, Rhode Island, May 1 - 4, 2006.

- Weickum, G., Eldred, M.S., and Maute, K., "Multi-point Extended Reduced Order Modeling For Design Optimization and Uncertainty Analysis, paper AIAA-2006-2145 in
*Proceedings of the 47th AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference (2nd AIAA Multidisciplinary Design Optimization Specialist Conference)*, Newport, Rhode Island, May 1 - 4, 2006.

- Eldred, M.S., Bichon, B.J., and Adams, B.M., "Overview of Reliability Analysis and Design Capabilities in DAKOTA,
*Proceedings of the NSF Workshop on Reliable Engineering Computing (REC 2006)*, Savannah, GA, February 22-24, 2006.

- Eldred, M.S., Giunta, A.A., and Collis, S.S, "Second-Order Corrections for Surrogate-Based Optimization with Model Hierarchies, paper AIAA-2004-4457 in
*Proceedings of the 10th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Albany, NY, Aug. 30 - Sept. 1, 2004.

- Giunta, A.A., Eldred, M.S., Swiler, L.P., Trucano, T.G., and Wojtkiewicz, S.F., Jr., "Perspectives on Optimization Under Uncertainty: Algorithms and Applications paper AIAA-2004-4451 in
*Proceedings of the 10th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Albany, NY, Aug. 30 - Sept. 1, 2004.

- Perez, V.M., Eldred, M.S., and Renaud, J.E., "Solving the Infeasible Trust-region Problem Using Approximations, paper AIAA-2004-4312 in
*Proceedings of the 10th AIAA/ISSMO Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization Conference*, Albany, NY, Aug. 30 - Sept. 1, 2004.

- Giunta, A.A., Eldred, M.S., and Castro, J.P., "Uncertainty Quantification Using Response Surface Approximations,
*Proceedings of the 9th ASCE Joint Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability*, Albuquerque, NM, July 26-28, 2004.

- Perez, V.M., Eldred, M.S., and Renaud, J.E., "An rSQP Approach for a Single-Level Reliability Optimization,
*Proceedings of the 9th ASCE Joint Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability*, Albuquerque, NM, July 26-28, 2004.

- van Bloemen Waanders, B., "Application of Optimization Methods to the Calibration of Water Distribution Systems,"
*Proceedings of the World Water and Environmental Resources Congress (EWRI)*, Salt Lake City, UT, June 27 - July 1, 2004.

- Giunta, A.A., Wojtkiewicz, S.F., Jr., and Eldred, M.S., "Overview of Modern Design of Experiments Methods for Computational Simulations, paper AIAA-2003-0649 in
*Proceedings of the 41st AIAA Aerospace Sciences Meeting and Exhibit*, Reno, NV, Jan. 6-9, 2003.

- Simpson, T.W., Booker, A.J., Ghosh, D., Giunta, A.A., Koch, P.N., and Yang, R.-J., "Approximation Methods in Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization: A Panel Discussion,
*3rd ISSMO/AIAA Internet Conference on Approximations in Optimization*, Oct. 14-18, 2002.

- Eldred, M.S., Giunta, A.A., Wojtkiewicz, S.F., Jr., and Trucano, T.G., "Formulations for Surrogate-Based Optimization Under Uncertainty, paper AIAA-2002-5585 in
*Proceedings of the 9th AIAA/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, Atlanta, GA, Sept. 4-6, 2002.

- Giunta, A.A., Eldred, M.S., Trucano, T.G., and Wojtkiewicz, S.F., Jr., "Optimization Under Uncertainty Methods for Computational Shock Physics Applications, paper AIAA-2002-1642 in
*Proceedings of the 43rd AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference*(Nondeterministic Approaches Forum), Denver, CO, April 22-25, 2002.

- Giunta, A. A., "Use of Data Sampling, Surrogate Models, and Numerical Optimization in Engineering Design, paper AIAA-2002-0538 in
*Proceedings of the 40th AIAA Aerospace Sciences Meeting and Exhibit*, Reno, NV, Jan. 2002.

- Wojtkiewicz, S.F., Jr., Eldred, M.S., Field, R.V., Jr., Urbina, A., and Red-Horse, J.R., "A Toolkit For Uncertainty Quantification In Large Computational Engineering Models, paper AIAA-2001-1455 in
*Proceedings of the 42nd AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference*, Seattle, WA, April 16-19, 2001.

- Eldred, M.S., Hart, W.E., Schimel, B.D., and van Bloemen Waanders, B.G., "Multilevel Parallelism for Optimization on MP Computers: Theory and Experiment, paper AIAA-2000-4818 in
*Proceedings of the 8th AIAA/USAF/NASA/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, Long Beach, CA, September 6-8, 2000.

- Giunta, A.A., and Eldred, M.S., "Implementation of a Trust Region Model Management Strategy in the DAKOTA Optimization Toolkit, paper AIAA-2000-4935 in
*Proceedings of the 8th AIAA/USAF/NASA/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, Long Beach, CA, September 6-8, 2000.

- Eldred, M.S., and Schimel, B.D., "Extended Parallelism Models for Optimization on Massively Parallel Computers, paper 16-POM-2 in
*Proceedings of the 3rd World Congress of Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization (WCSMO-3)*, Amherst, NY, May 17-21, 1999.

- Eldred, M.S., and Hart, W.E., "Design and Implementation of Multilevel Parallel Optimization on the Intel TeraFLOPS, paper AIAA-98-4707 in
*Proceedings of the 7th AIAA/USAF/NASA/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, St. Louis, MO, Sept. 2-4, 1998, pp. 44-54.

- Blackwell, B.F., and Eldred, M.S., "Application of Reusable Interface Technology for Thermal Parameter Estimation,
*Proceedings of the 32nd National Heat Transfer Conference*, Vol. 2, Eds. Dulikravitch, G.S., and Woodbury, K.E., HTD-Vol. 340, August 1997, pp. 1-8.

- Chen, K.S., and Witkowski, W.R., "Design Optimization of Liquid-Distribution Chamber-Slot Dies Using the DAKOTA Toolkit," 50th Annual Conference of the Society for Imaging Science and Technology, Cambridge MA, May 18-23, 1997.

- Hobbs, M. L., "A Global HMX Decomposition Model," 1996 JANNAF Propulsion Systems Hazards Subcommittee Meeting, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, Nov. 4-8, 1996.

- Eldred, M.S., Hart, W.E., Bohnhoff, W.J., Romero, V.J., Hutchinson, S.A., and Salinger, A.G., "Utilizing Object-Oriented Design to Build Advanced Optimization Strategies with Generic Implementation, paper AIAA-96-4164 in
*Proceedings of the 6th AIAA/USAF/NASA/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, Bellevue, WA, Sept. 4-6, 1996, pp. 1568-1582.

- Moen, C.D., Spence, P.A., Meza, J.C., and Plantenga, T.D., "Automatic Differentiation for Gradient-Based Optimization of Radiatively Heated Microelectronics Manufacturing Equipment," paper AIAA-96-4118 in
*Proceedings of the 6th AIAA/USAF/NASA/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, Bellevue, WA, Sept. 4-6, 1996, pp. 1167-1175.

- Ponslet, E.R., and Eldred, M.S., "Discrete Optimization of Isolator Locations for Vibration Isolation Systems: an Analytical and Experimental Investigation," paper AIAA-96-4178 in
*Proceedings of the 6th AIAA/USAF/NASA/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, Bellevue, WA, Sept. 4-6, 1996, pp. 1703-1716. Also appears as <a href="https://dakota.sandia.gov//sites/default/files/documents/VibIsol_SAND961169.pdf>Sandia Technical Report SAND96-1169, May 1996.

- Hart, W.E., "A Stationary Point Convergence Theory for Evolutionary Algorithms,"
*Proceedings of Foundations of Genetic Algorithms 4*, San Diego, CA, August 3-5, 1996, pp. 325-342.

- Hart, W.E., Baden, S., Belew, R.K., Kohn, S., "Analysis of the Numerical Effects of Parallelism on a Parallel Genetic Algorithm,"
*Proceedings of the 10th International Parallel Processing Symposium*(IPPS `96), Honolulu, HI, April 15-19, 1996, pp. 606-612.

- Hart, W.E., "A Theoretical Comparison of Evolutionary Algorithms and Simulated Annealing,"
*Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Conference on Evolutionary Programming*(EP `96), San Diego, CA, February 29 - March 2, 1996, pp. 147-154.

- Harding, D.C., Eldred, M.S., and Witkowski, W.R., "Integration of Finite Element Analysis and Numerical Optimization Techniques for RAM Transport Package Design,"
*Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on the Packaging and Transportation of Radioactive Materials*(PATRAM `95), Las Vegas, NV, Dec. 3-8, 1995.

- Harding, D.C., and Eldred, M.S., "Radioactive Material Transportation Package Design Using Numerical Optimization Techniques,"
*Proceedings of the 1995 Joint ASME/JSME Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference*, Honolulu, Hawaii, July 23-27, 1995, Vol. PVP-307, pp. 29-36.

- Romero, V.J., Eldred, M.S., Bohnhoff, W.J., and Outka, D.E., "Application of Optimization to the Inverse Problem of Finding the Worst-Case Heating Configuration in a Fire,"
*Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Numerical Methods in Thermal Problems*, Atlanta, GA, July 17-21, 1995, Vol. 9, Part 2, pp. 1022-1033.

- Witkowski, W.R., Eldred, M.S., and Harding, D.C., "Integration of Numerical Analysis Tools for Automated Numerical Optimization of a Transportation Package Design,"
*Proceedings of the 5th AIAA/NASA/USAF/ISSMO Symposium on Multidisciplinary Analysis and Optimization*, paper AIAA94-4259, Panama City Beach, FL, Sept. 7-9, 1994.